NFL odds, picks for Week 6: Advanced computer model loving Ravens, Rams – CBSSports.com


Week 6 NFL odds are on the move as teams continue to battle for early-season playoff positioning. The Vikings opened as 9.5-point home favorites against the Cardinals, but that line has continued to grow, with Minnesota now at -10 against the NFL’s only winless team. While Vegas strongly favors one side in that game, the latest NFL odds and lines show Chargers vs. Browns as virtually even. Los Angeles sits as a one-point favorite on the road against Baker Mayfield and a Cleveland squad off to a 2-2-1 start after going winless in all of 2017. Whether you’re eyeing tight games or searching for value in larger NFL spreads, be sure to check out the Week 6 NFL picks and predictions for every single game from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

It went a blistering 10-5 straight up in a wild Week 5, including calling the Jets‘ outright upset of the Broncos. It also recommended the Bills (+6) against the spread and on the money line (+230) against the Titans. The model is now on an impressive 58-40 run on all of its top-rated picks and anyone who has followed it is way, way up.

Now it has simulated every snap 10,000 times and its Week 6 NFL picks are in. 

One of the Week 6 NFL picks the model is all over: the Ravens (-2.5) go on the road and cover against the Titans in a game that has seen the line move a half-point in favor of the Ravens. 

The model has taken into account Tennessee’s struggles on offense as the Titans enter Week 6 averaging just 17.4 points per game. The Titans have scored over 20 just once this season and failed to find the end zone in two games already. Baltimore, meanwhile, has received a boost on offense from quarterback Joe Flacco, who has already thrown for over 1,500 yards, eight touchdowns and just three interceptions.

The model projects that Flacco will again go for over 250 yards on Sunday, while QB Marcus Mariota is held under 200 for the Titans. Baltimore covers in 56 percent of simulations, while the Over (41.5) also hits more than half the time. 

Another one of the top Week 6 NFL picks from the model: The Rams (-7) continue their march toward a 2019 Super Bowl berth with another win and cover, this time against the Broncos. 

Denver’s defense will try to slow a Rams offense that’s No. 1 in the league in total yardage (468.4 yards per game) and second in scoring (34.6 points per game). The model, however, is calling for more of the same from L.A. Todd Gurley goes off for over 120 yards from scrimmage, while Jared Goff pushes for 300 more through the air. The Rams cover the spread in almost 55 percent of simulations, while the over (52.5) hits over half the time as well. 

The model also has a strong selection for “Sunday Night Football” between the Patriots and Chiefs, and is calling for a team with Super Bowl aspirations to get absolutely stunned at home by an underdog. 

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 6? And what Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has beaten 98 percent of experts over the past two years.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (+1, 44)
Seattle Seahawks vs. Oakland Raiders (+2.5, 48)
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns (+1, 44.5)
Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 44.5)
Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (-2.5, 45)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 52.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-10, 43)
Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins (+3.5, 41.5)
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-10, 41)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 57.5)
Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos (+7, 52)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys (+3, 40.5)
Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 41.5)
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-3.5, 59.5)
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-9.5, 46.5)

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